Cumulative Incidence Of Recurrence Research Articles

Abstract PO2-18-09: A phase 3 randomized open-label study of extended adjuvant therapy with camizestrant vs standard endocrine therapy in patients with ER+/HER2– early breast cancer and an intermediate or high risk of recurrence (CAMBRIA 1)

Abstract Background: Definitive locoregional (surgery ± radiotherapy) and standard adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET) (± chemotherapy or cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 inhibitor [CDK4/6i]) can achieve cure in many patients (pts) with estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative (ER+/HER2–) early breast cancer (BC). Nevertheless, a significant proportion of pts with stage I–III disease will experience recurrence to metastatic, incurable disease (5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of recurrence of 8.3% and 14.0%, respectively). There is evidence that incorporating a more effective endocrine therapy after 2 years of standard adjuvant ET can result in clinical benefit for high-risk individuals. Camizestrant is a next-generation oral selective ER degrader and pure ER antagonist. In SERENA-2, camizestrant 75 mg and 150 mg significantly prolonged progression-free survival vs fulvestrant in postmenopausal women with ER+/HER2– advanced BC with disease recurrence or progression after ET. The CAMBRIA-1 study (NCT05774951) is evaluating the potential of extended adjuvant therapy with camizestrant to improve outcomes in pts with ER+/HER2– early BC with an intermediate or high risk of recurrence after definitive locoregional therapy and standard adjuvant ET. Trial design: This phase 3 randomized, open-label study is enrolling women (pre- or postmenopausal) and men with ER+/HER2– (immunohistochemistry 0/1+/2+/in situ hybridization-negative) early BC who have completed definitive locoregional therapy and standard adjuvant ET (± CDK4/6i) for ≥2 and ≤5 years (+ 3 months) without disease recurrence. Pts must be considered at intermediate or high risk of recurrence based on clinical, biological, and genomic factors. Pts are randomized (1:1) to continue standard ET of the investigator’s choice (tamoxifen or aromatase inhibitor ± luteinizing hormone-releasing hormone [LHRH] agonist) or camizestrant ± LHRH agonist for up to 60 months. The primary endpoint is invasive BC-free survival (STEEP 2.0 criteria). Secondary endpoints include invasive disease-free survival and distant relapse-free survival (STEEP 2.0 criteria), overall survival, safety, and health-related quality of life. Primary endpoint analysis will use a stratified log-rank test adjusting for stratification factors, assuming a two-sided significance level of 5%. Approximately 4300 pts will be randomized; enrollment is ongoing. Clinical trial identification: NCT05774951 Editorial acknowledgment: Writing assistance was provided by Alison Lovibond, PhD, of BOLDSCIENCE Inc., funded by AstraZeneca. Legal entity responsible for the study: AstraZeneca Funding: This study was supported by AstraZeneca. Citation Format: Erika Hamilton, Sibylle Loibl, Naoki Niikura, Priya Rastogi, Kamal S. Saini, Ioanna Gioni, Teresa Klinowska, Ingrid A. Mayer, Mary Stuart, Emilia Syta, Andrew Walding, Thomas Bachelot. A phase 3 randomized open-label study of extended adjuvant therapy with camizestrant vs standard endocrine therapy in patients with ER+/HER2– early breast cancer and an intermediate or high risk of recurrence (CAMBRIA 1) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2023 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2023 Dec 5-9; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(9 Suppl):Abstract nr PO2-18-09.

Effectiveness of intraoperative endoscopic evaluation in aortic valve repair with valve-sparing aortic root replacement: a comparison of short- and mid-term results.

Valve-sparing aortic root replacement requires expertise to predict repair results and prevent secondary aortic clamping for valve repair or replacement secondary to aortic valve insufficiency. Thus, intraoperative evaluation of the aortic valve using diastolic pressure at the aortic root may be helpful. The goal of this retrospective study was to compare the early and mid-term results of aortic valve repair with those of valve-sparing aortic root replacement using intraoperative endoscopic evaluation. We included 158 patients who underwent aortic valve repair with valve-sparing aortic root replacement at our hospital between December 2003 and January 2022. The patients were divided into a non-endoscopic evaluation group (group NE, n = 97; mean age 55 years) and an endoscopic evaluation group (group E, n = 61; mean age 51 years). The incidence of a second aortic clamping for aortic valve insufficiency was significantly greater in group NE (17.5%) than in group E (1.6%; P = 0.002). The presence of none or trivial aortic valve insufficiency on transthoracic echocardiography at discharge in group E (87.6%) was significantly lower than in group NE (98.4%; P = 0.017). No significant difference in the cumulative incidence of recurrence of moderate AI (P = 0.47), hospitalization for heart failure (P = 0.84) and reoperation (P = 0.25) between groups NE and E. Intraoperative endoscopic evaluation during aortic valve repair with valve-sparing aortic root replacement correlated with a lower incidence of second aortic clamping because of aortic valve insufficiency and effective aortic valve insufficiency control.

Abstract 5211: Somatic copy number variation as prognostic marker for recurrence in never-smokers with early-stage lung adenocarcinoma

Abstract Objective: Lung cancer in never-smokers has a distinct genomic profile with low tumor mutation burden, more tumor promotor mutations and fewer somatic copy number variations (CNV) than smokers. CNVs have shown to be associated with poor outcome in advanced stage disease. However, the relationship between CNV and clinicopathologic features on prognosis in early-stage lung cancer is undefined. To address this knowledge gap, we assessed the impact of CNV on recurrence in never-smokers who underwent curative resection for pathological stage I-II lung adenocarcinoma using an integrated genomic and clinicopathological analysis. Methods: We analyzed a cohort of 210 never-smokers with stage I-II lung adenocarcinoma treated from 2014 to 2022 who met the inclusion criteria (no neoadjuvant therapy, pathological stage I-II, complete resection, next-generation sequencing available). The patient cohort was stratified using unsupervised hierarchical clustering of arm-level CNVs. We assessed cumulative incidence of recurrence (CIR) between CNV groups using competing risk regression analysis, adjusting for SUVmax, pathologic stage, lymphovascular invasion, IASLC grade, and tumor mutation burden. Results: Of the 210 patients, 159 patients were female (76%), and patients were primarily from Caucasian (n=140, 67%) or Asian decent (n=50, 24%). Based on arm-level CNV clustering, the cohort was stratified into three groups: CNV low (n=86, 41%), CNV moderate (n=75, 36%) and CNV high (n=49, 23%). The CNV low tumors were characterized by a low CNV burden. Conversely, the CNV moderate tumors primarily exhibited gains in chromosomes 1q, 5p and 7p, along with loss of heterozygosity in chromosome 9p, 9q and 13. CNV high tumors were characterized by whole-genome doubling. Whole-genome doubling was significantly more common in CNV high tumors (n=33, 66%) compared to CNV low (n=2, 2.3%) and CNV moderate tumors (n=2, 2.7%) (p<.001). EGFR (n=145, 69%) and TP53 (n=61, 29%) were the most frequently altered genes, with EGFR alterations being significantly more prevalent in CNV high tumors (n=41, 84%) compared to CNV low tumors (n=46, 53%) (p<.001). In total, 42 patients (20%) developed recurrences. The CIR was lower in the CNV low group (5y-CIR, 14%, 95%CI: 6.5%-25%) compared to the CNV moderate (5y-CIR, 31%, 95%CI: 18%-44%) and CNV high group (5y-CIR, 48%, 95%CI: 27%-66%) (p=.004), with adjusted hazard ratios of 2.3 (95%CI: 0.93-5.71; p=0.074) and 2.65 (95%CI: 1.07-6.60; p=.037), respectively. The CIR for locoregional (n=11, 5%) and distant recurrence (n=31, 15%) remained lower in the CNV low group compared to the combined CNV moderate & high groups (Gray test p=.020 and p=.049, respectively). Conclusion: In never-smokers who underwent curative treatment of pathological stage I-II lung adenocarcinoma, copy number status seems a predictor of recurrence, with CNV low tumors associated with the best prognosis. Citation Format: Stijn Vanstraelen, Allison Reiner, Brooke H. Mastrogiacomo, Kay See Tan, Joseph Dycoco, Bernard J. Park, Prasad S. Adusumilli, Matthew J. Bott, David R. Jones, Gaetano Rocco. Somatic copy number variation as prognostic marker for recurrence in never-smokers with early-stage lung adenocarcinoma [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2024; Part 1 (Regular Abstracts); 2024 Apr 5-10; San Diego, CA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(6_Suppl):Abstract nr 5211.

Distinct impacts of radiological appearance on lymph node metastasis and prognosis based on solid size in clinical T1 non-small cell lung cancer

BackgroundSolid nodules (SN) had more aggressive features and a poorer prognosis than part-solid nodules (PSN). This study aimed to evaluate the specific impacts of nodule radiological appearance (SN vs. PSN) on lymph node metastasis and prognosis based on solid size in cT1 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).MethodsPatients with cT1 NSCLC who underwent anatomical resection between 2010 and 2019 were retrospectively screened. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were adopted to evaluate the associations between nodule radiological appearance and lymph node metastasis. The log-rank test and Cox regression analyses were applied for prognostic evaluation. The cumulative recurrence risk was evaluated by the competing risk model.ResultsThere were 958 and 665 NSCLC patients with PSN and SN. Compared to the PSN group, the SN arm had a higher overall lymph node metastasis rate (21.7% vs. 2.7%, P < 0.001), including nodal metastasis at N1 stations (17.7% vs. 2.1%), N2 stations (14.0% vs. 1.6%), and skip nodal metastasis (3.9% vs. 0.6%). However, for cT1a NSCLC, no significant difference existed between SN and PSN (0 vs. 0.4%, P = 1). In addition, the impacts of nodule radiological appearance on lymph node metastasis varied between nodal stations. Solid NSCLC had an inferior prognosis than part-solid patients (5-year disease-free survival: 79.3% vs. 96.2%, P < 0.001). The survival inferiority only existed for cT1b and cT1c NSCLC, but not for cT1a. Strikingly, even for patients with nodal involvement, SN still had a poorer disease-free survival (P = 0.048) and a higher cumulative incidence of recurrence (P < 0.001) than PSN. Specifically, SN had a higher recurrence risk than PSN at each site. Nevertheless, the distribution of recurrences between SN and PSN was similar, except that N2 lymph node recurrences were more frequent in solid NSCLC (28.21% vs. 7.69%, P = 0.041).ConclusionSN had higher risks of lymph node metastasis and poorer prognosis than PSN for cT1b and cT1c NSCLC, but not for cT1a. SN exhibited a greater proportion of N2 lymph node recurrence than PSN. SN and PSN needed distinct strategies for nodal evaluation and postoperative follow-up.

Post-operative KEloids iRradiation (POKER): does the surgery/high-dose interventional radiotherapy association make a winning hand?

PurposeTo report the results involving post-operative interventional radiotherapy (POIRT) in a homogenous cohort of patients affected by keloid and treated at a single institution with the same fractionation schedule.Patients and MethodsInclusion criteria were: surgery with a histopathological diagnosis of keloid, subsequent high-dose rate interventional radiotherapy (HDR-IRT)—12 Gy in 4 fractions (3 Gy/fr) twice a day—and follow-up period ≥ 24 months.ResultsOne-hundred and two patients and a total of 135 keloids were eligible for the analyses. Median follow-up was 64 [IQR: 25–103] months. Thirty-six (26.7%) recurrences were observed, 12-months and 36-months cumulative incidence of recurrence were 20.7% (95% CI 12.2–28.5) and 23.8% (95% CI 14.9–31.7) respectively. History of spontaneous keloids (HR = 7.00, 95% CI 2.79–17.6, p < 0.001), spontaneous cheloid as keloid cause (HR = 6.97, 95% CI 2.05–23.7, p = 0.002) and sternal (HR = 10.6, 95% CI 3.08–36.8, p < 0.001), ear (HR = 6.03, 95% CI 1.71–21.3, p = 0.005) or limb (HR = 18.8, 95% CI 5.14–68.7, p < 0.001) keloid sites were significantly associated to a higher risk of recurrence.ConclusionsThe findings support the use of surgery and POIRT as an effective strategy for controlling keloid relapses. Further studies should focus on determining the optimal Biologically Effective Dose and on establishing a scoring system for patient selection.

Comparing resection and stereotactic body radiation therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma with macrovascular invasion: A propensity score matched study.

521 Background: Macrovascular invasion (MVI) in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients is a poor prognostic factor. Current guidelines endorse systemic therapy for MVI. Local therapies present a potential for obliteration of MVI and improved survival. Surgery has been the standard local therapy at our institution, and stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT) has emerged as an alternative local therapy for this patient population. Methods: In this retrospective study, one-to-one optimal pair propensity score matching was used to compare outcomes of HCC patients with MVI who underwent surgery or received SBRT. Matching was done based on sex, age, ECOG, cirrhosis presence, Child-Pugh class, number of tumours, tumour volume, alpha-fetoprotein level, ALBI score, Japanese Classification of portal vein invasion, and hepatic vein invasion. Overall survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method and between group differences determined using the log-rank test. The cumulative incidence of recurrence, accounting for the competing risk of death, was compared using Gray’s test. Results: Ninety of 193 patients were included after matching (45 patients in both the surgery and SBRT groups) (Table). The SBRT group had a median OS of 15 months (95% CI: 10-38), while in the surgery group it was 24 months (95% CI: 11-81). Comparing the 12-, 36-, and 60-month overall survival (OS) rates between the SBRT group (57%, 33%, 15%) and the surgery group (58%, 37%, 34%), there was no statistically significant differences (p=0.16); the 5-year OS was double in the surgical resection group. The 12-, 36-, and 60-month cumulative incidence of HCC recurrence in the SBRT group (47%, 73%, 75%) was comparable to the surgery group (69%, 69%, 69%) (p=0.89). Conclusions: Long term survival is possible in patients with HCC and MVI in a substantial minority of patients with HCC and MVI treated with local therapies. There was no statistical difference in outcomes; however, surgical resection resulted in numerically longer survival outcomes compared to SBRT after propensity score adjustment. There is rationale for investigating both local therapies with systemic therapies in future clinical trials. [Table: see text]

Postchemotherapy Retroperitoneal Lumpectomy in Patients with Nonseminoma Testicular Cancer: A Nationwide Study

Background and objectiveOptimal treatment outcomes in patients with metastatic nonseminoma testicular cancer are achieved with chemotherapy and subsequent surgery in cases with residual tumor. In Denmark, postchemotherapy retroperitoneal lumpectomy (RPLP) is performed in patients with residual tumors >1 cm. There is a need to clarify whether this surgical method provides acceptable treatment results. Our objective was to describe morbidity and oncological outcomes of postchemotherapy RPLP. MethodsThis was a retrospective population-based multicenter study including patients with nonseminoma testicular cancer and postchemotherapy RPLP performed in Denmark between 1990 and 2015. A total of 219 patients were eligible, with median follow-up of 19 yr. Postoperative complications were evaluated according to the Clavien-Dindo classification. The cumulative incidence of recurrence inside or outside the borders of a bilateral surgical template, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival estimates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Key findings and limitationsAfter median follow-up of 19 yr, 31/219 patients (14%) experienced a surgical complication, of which 5% were Clavien-Dindo grade ≥III. In total, 37 patients experienced a recurrence. The 5-yr, 10-yr, and 20-yr cumulative risk of recurrence inside a bilateral template was 4.3%, 5.9%, and 5.9%, respectively. The 10-yr PFS rate was 83% and the 10-yr overall survival rate was 96%. The main limitation of the study is the retrospective design. Conclusions and clinical implicationsWith few patients experiencing a major postoperative complication and a 10-yr cumulative rate of 5.9% for recurrence inside a bilateral surgical template, postchemotherapy RPLP appears to be a safe alternative to template surgery for disseminated nonseminoma. Patient summaryWe looked at minimal surgery to remove tumor tissue remaining after chemotherapy in patients with testicular cancer. We found a low frequency of complications, tumor recurrence, and death.

Prognostic outcomes and recurrence patterns in resected stage I lung adenocarcinoma harbouring atypical epidermal growth factor receptor mutations.

Limited data exist on the characteristics of atypical epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) mutations in early-stage lung cancer. Our goal was to elucidate the associations with outcomes and recurrence patterns in resected stage I lung adenocarcinoma harbouring atypical EGFR mutations. Eligible patients between 2014 and 2019 were retrospectively identified and grouped into exon20 insertion mutations and major atypical mutations, which included G719X, L861Q and S768I. Disease-free survival (DFS) was evaluated in the entire cohort and stratified by radiologic characteristics. Recurrence patterns were investigated and compared between groups. A competing risk model was used to estimate the cumulative incidence of recurrence. A total of 710 patients were finally included. Among them, 289 (40.7%) patients had exon 20 insertion mutations and 421 (59.3%) patients had major atypical mutations. There was no significant difference regarding DFS (P = 0.142) between groups in the entire cohort. The interaction between mutation subtype and the presence of ground-glass opacities was significant (hazard ratio 2.00, 95% confidence interval 1.59-2.51, P < 0.001), indicating DFS between exon 20 insertion mutations and major atypical mutations may be different among subsolid and solid tumours. Survival analysis consistently revealed no significant difference in subsolid tumours (P = 0.680), but favourable DFS of exon 20 insertion mutations in solid tumours (P = 0.037). Furthermore, patients with exon 20 insertion mutations had a lower risk of developing bone metastases did those with radiologic solid tumours (Gray's test, P = 0.012). Exon 20 insertion mutations were correlated with favourable DFS and lower incidence of bone metastases in radiologic solid lung adenocarcinomas harbouring atypical EGFR mutations.

Lobe-specific lymph node sampling is associated with lower risk of cancer recurrence

ObjectiveAdequate intraoperative lymph node (LN) assessment is a critical component of early-stage non–small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) resection. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network and the American College of Surgeons Commission on Cancer (CoC) recommend station-based sampling minimums agnostic to tumor location. Other institutions advocate for lobe-specific LN sampling strategies that consider the anatomic likelihood of LN metastases. We examined the relationship between lobe-specific LN assessment and long-term outcomes using a robust, highly curated cohort of stage I NSCLC patients. MethodsWe performed a cohort study using a uniquely compiled dataset from the Veterans Health Administration and manually abstracted data from operative and pathology reports for patients with clinical stage I NSCLC (2006-2016). For simplicity in comparison, we included patients who had right upper lobe (RUL) or left upper lobe (LUL) tumors. Based on modified European Society of Thoracic Surgeons guidelines, lobe-specific sampling was defined for RUL tumors (stations 2, 4, 7, and 10 or 11) and LUL tumors (stations 5 or 6, 7, and 10 or 11). Our primary outcome was the risk of cancer recurrence, as assessed by Fine and Gray competing risks modeling. Secondary outcomes included overall survival (OS) and pathologic upstaging. Analyses were adjusted for relevant patient, disease, and treatment variables. ResultsOur study included 3534 patients with RUL tumors and 2667 patients with LUL tumors. Of these, 277 patients (7.8%) with RUL tumors and 621 patients (23.2%) with LUL tumors met lobe-specific assessment criteria. Comparatively, 34.7% of patients met the criteria for count-based assessment, and 25.8% met the criteria for station-based sampling (ie, any 3 N2 stations and 1 N1 station). Adherence to lobe-specific assessment was associated with lower cumulative incidence of recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.83; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.70-0.98) and a higher likelihood of pathologic upstaging (aHR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.20-1.86). Lobe-specific assessment was not associated with OS. ConclusionsAdherence to intraoperative LN sampling guidelines is low. Lobe-specific assessment is associated with superior outcomes in early-stage NSCLC. Quality metrics that assess adherence to intraoperative LN sampling, such as the CoC Operative Standards manual, also should consider lobe-specific criteria.

Optimising follow-up strategy based on cytology and human papillomavirus after fertility-sparing surgery for early stage cervical cancer: a nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort study

The optimal follow-up strategy to detect recurrence after fertility-sparing surgery for early stage cervical cancer is unknown. Tailored surveillance based on individual risks could contribute to improved efficiency and, subsequently, reduce costs in health care. The aim of this study was to establish the predictive value of cervical cytology and high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) testing to detect recurrent cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 or worse (CIN2+; including recurrent cervical cancer) after fertility-sparing surgery. In this nationwide, population-based, retrospective cohort study, we used data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry and the Dutch Nationwide Pathology Databank. All patients aged 18-40 years with cervical cancer of any histology who received fertility-sparing surgery (ie, large loop excision of the transformation zone, conisation, or trachelectomy) between Jan 1, 2000, and Dec 31, 2020, were included. Pathology data from diagnosis, treatment, and during follow-up were analysed. The primary and secondary outcomes were the cumulative incidence of recurrent CIN2+ and recurrence-free survival, overall and stratified by results for cytology and high-risk HPV. 1548 patients were identified, of whom 1462 met the inclusion criteria. Of these included patients, 19 568 pathology reports were available. The median age at diagnosis was 31 years (IQR 30-35). After a median follow-up of 6·1 years (IQR 3·3-10·8), recurrent CIN2+ was diagnosed in 128 patients (cumulative incidence 15·0%, 95% CI 11·5-18·2), including 52 patients (cumulative incidence 5·4%, 95% CI 3·7-7·0) with recurrent cervical cancer. The overall 10-year recurrence-free survival for CIN2+ was 89·3% (95% CI 87·4-91·3). By cytology at first follow-up visit within 12 months after fertility-sparing surgery, 10-year recurrence-free survival for CIN2+ was 92·1% (90·2-94·1) in patients with normal cytology, 84·6% (77·4-92·3) in those with low-grade cytology, and 43·1% (26·4-70·2) in those with high-grade cytology. By high-risk HPV status at first follow-up visit within 12 months after surgery, 10-year recurrence-free survival for CIN2+ was 91·1% (85·3-97·3) in patients who were negative for high-risk HPV and 73·6% (58·4-92·8) in those who were positive for high-risk HPV. Cumulative incidence of recurrent CIN2+ within 6 months after any follow-up visit (6-24 months) in patients negative for high-risk HPV with normal or low-grade cytology was 0·0-0·7% and with high-grade cytology was 0·0-33·3%. Cumulative incidence of recurrence in patients positive for high-risk HPV with normal or low-grade cytology were 0·0-15·4% and with high-grade cytology were 50·0-100·0%. None of the patients who were negative for high-risk HPV without high-grade cytology, at 6 months and 12 months, developed recurrence. Patients who are negative for high-risk HPV with normal or low-grade cytology at 6-24 months after fertility-sparing surgery, could be offered a prolonged follow-up interval of 6 months. This group comprises 80% of all patients receiving fertility-sparing surgery. An interval of 12 months seems to be safe after two consecutive negative tests for high-risk HPV with an absence of high-grade cytology, which accounts for nearly 75% of all patients who receive fertility-sparing surgery. KWF Dutch Cancer Society.

Oncological characteristics of epidermal growth factor receptor–mutated clinical stage IA lung adenocarcinoma with radiologically pure-solid appearance

ObjectivesWe evaluated the clinicopathological and oncological characteristics of epidermal growth factor receptor–mutated clinical stage IA radiological pure-solid lung adenocarcinoma and compared them with those of a ground-glass opacity component. MethodsBetween 2008 and 2020, data from 1014 surgically resected clinical stage 0-IA epidermal growth factor receptor–mutated lung adenocarcinomas were evaluated. Oncological outcomes were assessed using multivariable analysis. Overall survival was estimated using Kaplan–Meier analysis and the log-rank test. The cumulative incidence of recurrence was estimated using the Gray's test. ResultsOf these, 233 (23%) were radiologically pure-solid tumors, which demonstrated a higher proportion of nodal metastasis, micropapillary component, spread through alveolar space, and Ex19 subtype compared with those of tumors with ground-glass opacity (P < .001). Multivariable analysis revealed that the presence of ground-glass opacity was an independently significant factor for overall survival (P = .037) and cumulative incidence of recurrence (P < .001). In cases where the oncological outcomes were stratified by the presence of ground-glass opacity component, the 5-year overall survival was excellent at more than 90% in tumors with ground-glass opacity despite clinical-T categories (P = .2044); however, tumor size significantly affected survival only in pure-solid tumors (T1a, 100%; T1b, 77.7%; T1c, 68.5%; P = .0056). Furthermore, the cumulative incidence of recurrence was low in tumors with ground-glass opacity despite the clinical-T categories, whereas tumor size significantly affected the cumulative incidence of recurrence only in pure-solid tumors (5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence: T1a-b, 18.9%; T1c, 41.3%; P < .001). ConclusionsOncologic behavior and prognosis of radiologically pure-solid tumors were significantly poorer than those of tumors with ground-glass opacity among patients with epidermal growth factor receptor–mutated early-stage lung adenocarcinoma. These findings imply distinct tumorigenesis based on the presence of ground-glass opacity, even in tumors with epidermal growth factor receptor mutations.

Impact of non-obese metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease on risk factors for the recurrence of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma treated with endoscopic submucosal dissection: A multicenter study.

Metabolic dysfunction is a risk factor for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). We investigated the impact of the recently proposed metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and its subtypes on ESCC recurrence after endoscopic treatment. This multicenter observational cohort study enrolled consecutive patients newly diagnosed with ESCC after endoscopic treatment. Patients were classified into MAFLD or non-MAFLD groups. The MAFLD group was further classified into non-obese and obese MAFLD groups with a body mass index cutoff value of 25kg/m2 . The impact of MAFLD on the recurrence of ESCC was evaluated using a decision tree algorithm and random forest analysis. A total of 147 patients (average age 69years; male:female, 127:20; observational period, 2.4years) were enrolled. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year recurrence rates were 2.0%, 21.1%, and 33.7%, respectively. Independent risk factors for the recurrence of ESCC were MAFLD (HR 2.2812; 95% confidence interval 1.0497-4.9571; p=0.0373), drinking status, and smoking status. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease was identified as the second most important classifier for recurrence, followed by drinking status. The cumulative incidence of ESCC recurrence was higher in the MAFLD group than in the non-MAFLD group. In a subanalysis, the cumulative incidence of recurrence was significantly higher in the non-obese than in the obese MAFLD group among abstainers/non-drinkers. Directed acyclic graphs revealed that MAFLD directly contributes to ESCC recurrence. MAFLD was independently and directly associated with ESCC recurrence after endoscopic treatment; a high recurrence rate was observed in patients with non-obese MAFLD. Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease may identify patients at high risk for ESCC recurrence.

CD44v6 downregulation as a prognostic factor for distant recurrence in resected stage I lung adenocarcinomas.

CD44 and CD44 variant isoforms have been reported as contributing factors to cancer progression. In this study, we aimed to assess whether CD44 and its variant isoforms were correlated with the prognostic factors for distant metastasis in stage I lung adenocarcinomas using tissue microarray and immunohistochemistry. In this single-center retrospective study, we analyzed the data of 490 patients with stage I lung adenocarcinoma resected between 1999 and 2016. We constructed tissue microarrays and performed immunohistochemistry for CD44s, CD44v6, and CD44v9. The risk of disease recurrence and its associations with clinicopathological risk factors were assessed. CD44v6 expression was significantly associated with recurrence. Patients with CD44v6-negative tumors had a significantly increased risk of developing distant recurrence than patients with CD44v6-positive tumors (5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence (CIR), 10.7% vs. 4.6%; P = 0.009). However, CD44v6-negative tumors were not associated with an increased risk of locoregional recurrence compared to CD44v6-positive tumors (5-year CIR, 6.0% vs. 4.0%; P = 0.39). The overall survival (OS) of patients with CD44v6-negative tumors was significantly lower than that of patients with CD44v6-positive tumors (5-year OS: 87% vs. 94%, P = 0.016). CD44v6-negative tumors were also associated with invasive tumor size and lymphovascular invasion. Even in stage I disease, tumors with negative-CD44v6 expression had more distant recurrences than those with positive-CD44v6 expression and were associated with poor prognosis in resected stage I lung adenocarcinomas. Thus, CD44v6 downregulation may be a prognostic factor for distant metastasis in stage I lung adenocarcinomas.

Oncologic outcomes of segmentectomy versus lobectomy for clinical T1c radiological pure-solid non-small cell lung cancer.

We aimed to compare the outcomes of segmentectomy with those of lobectomy in T1c (>2-3 cm) radiological pure-solid non-small cell lung cancer detected on thin-section computed tomography. This retrospective review compared the survival outcomes, causes of death, and recurrence patterns between the segmentectomy and lobectomy in patients with c-T1cN0M0 radiological pure-solid non-small cell lung cancer. Multivariable analysis was performed to control for confounders of survival. The overall survival and recurrence-free survival were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. Differences in cumulative incidence of recurrence between groups were assessed using the methods of Gray. Of the 426 patients, lobectomy was performed in 381 patients and segmentectomy in 45 patients. Nodal metastasis was noted in 104 (24.4%) patients. Multivariable analysis revealed that lobectomy was an independent prognosticator of better OS (HR 0.596, 95% CI 0.366-0.969, p = 0.037). Lobectomy arm showed favourable 5-year overall survival and recurrence-free survival (overall survival: 72.9% vs 59.7%, log-rank test p = 0.007; recurrence-free survival: 64.4% vs 48.7%, p = 0.034) (median follow-up: 53 months). Approximately 14% of the patients in the lobectomy group and 27% in the segmentectomy group died of lung cancer. Furthermore, 5-year cumulative incidence of loco-regional recurrence rate was significantly higher in the segmentectomy group (35.5% vs 15.8%, p < 0.001). In T1c radiological pure-solid non-small cell lung cancer, segmentectomy was significantly associated with worse survival and insufficient loco-regional cancer control. Lobectomy remains the standard surgical treatment; meanwhile, segmentectomy should be applied with great caution.

Prediction of Risk of Metastatic Recurrence for Female Breast Cancer Patients in the Presence of Competing Causes of Death.

To estimate risk of recurrence for women diagnosed with nonmetastatic breast cancer considering the risks of other causes mortality. We extend a method based on the diagnosis-metastasis-death pathway to include risks of other causes mortality. We estimate three probabilities as cumulative incidence of: (i) being alive and recurrence-free, (ii) death for other causes before a recurrence, and (iii) recurrence. We apply the method to female breast cancer relative survival from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program registries (2000-2018) data. The cumulative incidence of recurrence shows a higher increase with more advanced cancer stage and is less influenced by age at diagnosis. At 5 years from diagnosis, the cumulative incidence of recurrence is less than 3% for those diagnosed with stage I, 10% to 13% for those diagnosed with stage II, and 37% to 47% for those diagnosed with stage III breast cancer. The estimates of recurrence considering versus ignoring the risks of dying from other causes were generally consistent, except for older women with more advanced stage, and longer time since diagnosis. In these groups, the net probability of recurrence, excluding the risks of dying from other causes, were overestimated. For patients with cancer who are older or long-term survivors, it is important to include the risks of other cause mortality as the crude cumulative incidence of recurrence is a more appropriate measure. These estimates are important in clinical decision making, as higher competing mortality may preclude the benefits of aggressive treatments.

Stage-Specific Risk of Recurrence and Death From Melanoma in Denmark, 2008-2021

To ensure optimal treatment and surveillance of patients with melanoma, knowledge of the clinical stage-specific risk of recurrence, mortality, and recurrence patterns across the American Joint Committee on Cancer Eighth Edition (AJCC8) substages is needed. To estimate stage-specific recurrence and melanoma-specific mortality rates, assess absolute stage-specific risks of recurrence and mortality, and describe stage-specific recurrence patterns, including conditional rates. Retrospective cohort study of prospectively collected nationwide population-based registry data. Nationwide, population-based cohort study. The 25 720 Danish patients, 18 years or older, diagnosed with first-time stage IA to IV cutaneous melanoma between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2019, were included and followed up from time of primary treatment until December 31, 2021. First diagnosis of stage IA to IV cutaneous melanoma. Stage-specific cumulative incidence of recurrence and melanoma-specific mortality, melanoma-specific recurrence-free survival, and assessed absolute stage-specific risks of recurrence and melanoma-specific mortality. Secondary outcomes were stage-specific recurrence patterns, including conditional rates, and melanoma-specific survival. We followed up 25 720 patients for a median of 5.9 years (95% CI, 58.9-59.3 years). Mean age was 59.1 years (95% CI, 58.9-59.3 years). Patients with stage IIB to IIC melanoma were older, had more comorbidities at diagnosis, and had the lowest rate of pathologic staging by sentinel node biopsy (81.6%-87.4%). A total of 10.6% of patients developed recurrence; first recurrence included distant recurrence, alone or with synchronous locoregional recurrence, in 56.6% of patients. We found a comparable risk of recurrence in stages IIIA and IIB (29.7% vs 33.2%) and in stages IIIB and IIC (35.9% vs 36.8%), respectively. Melanoma-specific mortality was comparable between stages IIIA and IIA (13.0% vs 13.6%) and between stages IIIB and IIB (18.4% vs 22.0%), respectively. These risk patterns persisted in cause-specific hazards models. This nationwide, population-based cohort study found that the increasing stages of the current AJCC8 staging system do not accurately reflect an increasing risk of recurrence and mortality in melanoma. The high proportion of distant recurrences suggests that hematogenous spread is a more common metastatic pathway than previously assumed, and surveillance with routine functional/cross-sectional imaging should be considered for stages IIB to IV. Future efforts should be put toward developing new tools for risk stratification and determining the survival effect of routine imaging in surveillance.

The International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer Thymic Epithelial Tumor Staging Project: Proposal for the T Component for the Forthcoming (Ninth) Edition of the TNM Classification of Malignant Tumors

IntroductionA TNM-based stage classification system of thymic epithelial tumors was adopted for the eighth edition of the stage classification of malignant tumors. The Thymic Domain of the Staging and Prognostics Factor Committee of the International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer developed a new database with the purpose to make proposals for the ninth edition stage classification system. This article outlines the proposed definitions for the T categories for the ninth edition TNM stage classification of thymic malignancies. MethodsA worldwide collective database of 11,347 patients with thymic epithelial tumors was assembled. Analysis was performed on 9147 patients with available survival data. Overall survival, freedom-from-recurrence, and cumulative incidence of recurrence were used as outcome measures. Analysis was performed separately for thymomas, thymic carcinomas, and neuroendocrine thymic tumors. ResultsProposals for the T categories include the following: T1 category is divided into T1a (≤5 cm) and T1b (>5 cm), irrespective of mediastinal pleura invasion; T2 includes direct invasion of the pericardium, lung, or phrenic nerve; T3 denotes direct invasion of the brachiocephalic vein, superior vena cava, chest wall, or extrapericardial pulmonary arteries and veins; and T4 category remains the same as in the eighth edition classification, involving direct invasion of the aorta and arch vessels, intrapericardial pulmonary arteries and veins, myocardium, trachea, or esophagus. ConclusionsThe proposed T categories for the ninth edition of the TNM classification provide good discrimination in outcome for the T component of the TNM-based stage system of thymic epithelial tumors.

A multicenter propensity score-matched analysis of lymphadenectomy in N1-positve lung cancer.

Selective mediastinal lymph node dissection based on lobe-specific metastases is widely recognized in daily practice. However, the significance of mediastinal lymph node dissection for N1-positive tumors has not been elucidated. We retrospectively reviewed 359 patients with N1-positive lung cancer who underwent lobectomy with systematic mediastinal lymph node dissection (systematic lymph node dissection) (n=150) and lobe-specific mediastinal lymph node dissection (lobe-specific lymph node dissection) (n=209). The operative and postoperative results and their propensity score-matched pairs were compared. The factors affecting survival were assessed using competing risk and multivariable analyses. The cumulative incidence of recurrence and the cumulative incidence of cancer-specific death were not significantly different between systematic and lobe-specific lymph node dissection in entire cohort. In the propensity score-matched cohort (83 pairs), systematic lymph node dissection tended to detect N2 lymph node metastasis more frequently (55.4 vs. 41%, P=0.087). Eleven patients (13.2%) in the systematic lymph node dissection group had a metastatic N2 lymph node 'in the systematic lymph node dissection field' that lobe-specific lymph node dissection did not dissect. The oncological outcomes between patients undergoing systematic lymph node dissection (5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence, 62.1%; 5-year cumulative incidence of cancer-specific death, 27.9%) and lobe-specific lymph node dissection (5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence, 60.1%; 5-year cumulative incidence of cancer-specific death, 23.3%) were similar. The propensity score-adjusted multivariable analysis for cumulative incidence of recurrence revealed that the prognosis associated with systematic lymph node dissection was comparable with the prognosis with lobe-specific lymph node dissection (hazard ratio, 1.17; 95% confidence interval, 0.82-1.67; P=0.37). The extent of lymph node dissection can affect accurate pathological staging; however, it was not associated with survival outcome in the treatment of N1-positive lung cancer.

Conditional recurrence analysis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma: Changes in recurrence rate and survival after recurrence resection by disease-free interval.

The prognosis of patients with resected intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is still unsatisfactory, with a high recurrence rate. We aimed to evaluate risks of recurrence changing over time and the survival benefit of resection for recurrent ICC. This study included patients who underwent hepatectomy for ICC during 1995-2020. Risk factors for recurrence-free survival (RFS) in patients undergoing initial resection and overall survival (OS) in patients who developed recurrence after initial resection were analyzed. Conditional cumulative incidence of recurrence was assessed. A total of 169 patients were included in the study and 114 patients (67.5%) developed recurrence. Cumulative analyses showed that the 5-year recurrence rate was 69.3% at the time of initial resection but decreased to 24.8% in patients free from recurrence at 2years after initial resection and 2.6% in patients free from recurrence at 4years. Re-resection was carried out in 26 (22.8%) of 114 patients who developed recurrence. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards model analysis indicated re-resection (hazard ratio [HR] 0.19; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.11-0.40, p<0.001), microvascular invasion (MVI) (HR 2.39; 95% CI 1.05-5.40, p=0.037), and disease-free interval (months) (HR 0.97; 95% CI 0.95-1.00, p=0.067) were significantly associated with longer OS after recurrence. Although the rate of recurrence remains high, conditional cumulative recurrence rate analysis showed that the rate of recurrence decreased by disease-free interval. Resection of recurrent ICC was associated with improved OS, particularly among patients with longer disease-free interval and absence of MVI after initial hepatectomy.

Estimated absolute percentage of biopsied tissue positive for Gleason pattern 4 (eAPP4) in low dose rate prostate brachytherapy: Evaluation of prognostic utility in a large cohort

PurposeTo determine whether a system to estimate Absolute Percentage of Biopsied Tissue Positive for Gleason Pattern 4 (eAPP4) is useful as a prognostication tool for patients with intermediate risk prostate cancer (IR-PCa) undergoing low dose rate prostate brachytherapy. Methods497 patients with IR-PCa and known grade group 2 or 3 disease treated with low dose rate seed brachytherapy (LDR-BT) at a quaternary cancer centre were retrospectively reviewed. Prostate biopsies for each patient included Gleason grading with synoptic reporting that did not include percentage of pattern 4 disease found within the sample. Each core was assigned a grade grouping, however, and that was used with optimized estimates of percentage of pattern four disease to estimate eAPP4. Outcomes including cumulative incidence of recurrence (CIR), treatment of recurrent disease (RRX), and metastasis-free survival (MFS) were then reviewed and the prognostic value of eAPP4 evaluated. Results428 (86%) patients had Gleason grade group 2 and 69 (14%) patients had Gleason grade group 3 disease. 230 (46%) patients had National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) favourable intermediate at baseline, while 267 (54%) of patients had NCCN unfavourable intermediate at baseline. Median follow-up was 7.3 (5.5–9.6) years. eAPP4 was predictive of CIR (p = 0.003), RRX (p = 0.003), or MFS (p = 0.001) events, while Gleason grade grouping alone was not. eAPP4 was strongest as a predictor for MFS when estimates of 30% (grade group 2) and 80% (grade group 3) were used [HR 1.07 (1.03–1.12); p = 0.001]. ConclusionseAPP4 was strongly predictive of recurrence and metastasis-free survival in a large cohort of patients receiving LDR-BT treatment for IR-PCa. Treatment of future patients with IR-PCa could include the use of eAPP4 prognostication.